20.8.26

Drowning


The sea will become a killer is a given.

That so many feel already acclimated to the prospect of a near-future world with dramatically higher oceans should be as dispiriting and disconcerting as if we’d already come to accept the inevitability of extended nuclear war — because that is the scale of devastation the rising oceans will unleash.

The Union of Concerned Scientists found that nearly 311,000 homes in the United States would be at risk of chronic inundation by 2045 — a timespan, as they pointed out, no longer than a mortgage. By 2100, the number would be more than 2.4 million properties, or $1 trillion worth of American real estate — underwater. Climate change may not only make the miles along the American coast uninsurable, it could render obsolete the very idea of disaster insurance.

Flooding has quadrupled since 1980.